Posts Tagged ‘Choice’

Evolving from technology to feelings

Wednesday, May 4th, 2011

Emotionally aware individuals will play a leading role in the near future, as increasing complexity and technology contributes to the emergence of an ‘emotional economy’ to replace the knowledge economy. Four key forces are underway that are contributing to this shift: depersonalisation, saturation, acceleration, and fragmentation.

Depersonalisation occurs when we feel that we have been treated like a number, or a machine, rather than a person. This happens when, for example, we are forced to navigate a maze of complex interactive voice response systems, and just long to talk to a real person. Sophisticated technology often creates frustration as it treats us like another piece of technology, not a person with intellect and emotions.

The sheer volume of information can overwhelm us and create a feeling of saturation. While the volume of useful information is growing, the ‘signal to noise ratio’ is getting worse, requiring intense effort to find information that matters. We know more and more about less and less. Paradoxically, this fosters an addiction to technology as we slavishly seek the next piece of often useless information.

Despite having an abundance of time saving devices we have become an ‘always on’ society and have less time than ever. Complex global linkages and interconnections accelerate our daily exposure and compound the saturation. ‘Time saving’ tools like the Blackberry or iPhone allow us to regularly check email and the internet, extending work deeply into personal time, making everything happen so much faster than it did for previous generations.

While technology collapses geography we find ourselves less personally connected than ever. We can feel closer to someone in another part of the world, with whom we engage online, while completely disconnected from our immediate neighbors. This gives rise to a sense of fragmentation – of belonging in different places at the same time, of belonging to everywhere but nowhere, of feeling pulled in competing directions.

With increasing technological capability fewer people will be required to produce what we require to run our lives, and we will be able to spend more time doing human interaction type tasks and less time doing intellectual tasks which can be automated. Much functional work will be done by artificial intelligence, and the remaining core staff in a business will be focused on caring for customers, tailoring services to each specific individual and their needs. These employees will be highly skilled and trained in emotional intelligence.

The outcome of this will be an emotional economy, which will place far greater premium on care – the ability to meet the needs of others in a way that is emotionally engaging and fulfilling. Leadership will be a core competency for every employee, and will be vital in every successful role. People who cannot lead themselves before leading others will find it hard to obtain meaningful work.

The call centre industry, for example, could completely reinvent itself to take advantage of this shift. Operators in the near future will recruit and train emotionally intelligent people for crucial personal touch situations. Workers who focus on caring, supported by very powerful artificial intelligence to provide ready answers to the customer, will enjoy a much better quality of life than call centre operators who focus on high-volume transactional work. Artificial intelligence will be able to guide the operator through the resolution of complex problems, enabling them to concentrate on full engagement with the customer. Short-sighted call centre operators will reduce headcount and shift to greater technology. Wiser operators will retrain staff to provide a higher level of emotionally engaging service, leading to increased staff and customer retention, and consequent profitability.

The emotional economy will encourage a distinction between the transaction and the transpersonal. Real value-add will occur person to person as basic transactions are automated. This will enable a range of choices about the level of interaction a customer wants and how much they will pay, with some choosing to pay a premium for human interaction. This is a market opportunity that few have yet recognised, given the current tendency to downsize organisations, automate interactions, and use logical rather than emotional measures.

In a knowledge economy we say people are our greatest asset, endeavour to manage by objectives, and use words like ‘mind share’, and value. In an emotional economy we will recognise that relationships are our greatest asset, will manage by meaning, and use words like ‘heart share’ and purpose. Leadership will be more about character than vision, and organisations will focus more on contribution than profit.

In a knowledge economy personal value is directly related to how much you know, how much you can create or generate, and the quality of your judgment – in short the ability to acquire and apply knowledge. Significant attempts are already underway to systemise anything that can be automated. Computers will do most of the work currently done by knowledge workers. We will spend less time doing intellectual work and more time engaging with people. Therefore, the ability to deeply empathise, to apply emotional know-how, and to reach out and touch people will be the new source of wealth. Your personal value will be the size of your heart, not the size of your ideas.

Does corporate social reputation matter?

Saturday, November 20th, 2010

Would you work for a landmine manufacturer? How about Big Tobacco? Or a business with a poor human rights record? We all like to believe that ethical considerations affect our choice of employer, but Professors Timothy Devinney and Grahame Dowling suggest corporate ethics is not as high on the list of priorities as most people think.

No one wants a bad reputation, and the same goes for companies. Tom Albanese is probably not proud of Rio Tinto’s behavior in the Stern Hu affair, and Steve Jobs certainly wasn’t happy about the revelations about worker suicides at Chinese Apple supplier Foxconn.

No one likes to think their company is doing bad things, but the question is: How much does it actually matter when it comes to attracting the best talent?

Researchers at UTS and Melbourne Business School, funded by an Australian Research Council Discovery Grant, wanted to find out to what extent business graduates take into account the reputation of a company when considering prospective employers.

To do this, we worked with the placement services of two major global MBA programs examining how graduates choose companies with which to interview and the components of the job contracts they preferred — taking into account the reputational aspects of job, the more mundane components of the job offer (such as salary and workload), and the characteristics of the company making the offer.

Our study had three parts.  First, the MBA students outlined what they looked for in a job and a job contract using a series of standard survey questions.  Next, they described what their dream job and dream employer looked like. Finally, using a structured experimental approach, we presented them with potential contracts from companies, from which they were to choose.

The contracts varied in a number of aspects: job location, salary and working conditions (for example travel time and workload demands), promotion opportunities,  further training and so on.  n addition to these relatively standard variables, we varied three types of reputation as measured in global ratings — social reputation of the potential employer (issues such as environmental sustainability, human rights, and so on), its workplace reputation (picking up on ‘best places to work’ types of issues and overall corporate reputation (issues such as product quality, financial health, and general reputation).  The reputations varied from ‘one of the top 25 in the world as rated by X’ to ‘an adequate reputation locally with some negative issues that periodically get into the press periodically’.

Speaking generally we found that MBAs tend to discount reputation significantly when making their career choices. We also found that when they do account for it they do so at the extremes.

In other words, what matters, when it matters, is either a top global reputation or a very negative reputation. Having a good local reputation may sound good to the locals but does not resonate with MBAs. According to our findings, MBAs will overall choose to avoid firms with negative corporate and workplace reputations and have a slight preferences for firms with globally recognised corporate reputations. When it came to a firm’s social reputation, we found no effect either for good or bad. Despite the strong anecdotal belief that companies can ‘do well by doing good’ and that employees will seek out companies with a strong corporate social responsibility strategy, our results reveal that MBAs do not put much stock in a company’s social positioning.

These findings are consistent with our work on ‘ethical consumers’ . In that research we show that what matters to consumer choice is usually a complex mixture of attributes about the product they’re buying. In the case of MBA job and contract choice the same is true. Potential employees take into account complex mixture of attributions and associations in relation to the jobs they are considering. We believe that over emphasising reputation is a mistake, particularly with respect to aspects of reputation, such as a company’s social positioning, that do not relate to what people are seeking from an employer.

What is perhaps most interesting about both our research on MBAs and consumers is that when you question them in a survey or an interview they invariably indicate that a company’s or product’s social positioning does matter. For example: ‘I want to work for [or buy from] a company that’s good to children, to women, to the environment, that’s good to this, that’s good to that.’  However, when you compare these statement or the survey results to the choices made, there is almost no relationship at all.

The problem is that surveys or interviews do not require people to make a trade-off or pay a price for their opinions. The reality is that we all make trade-offs that may or may not be related to a company’s social activities. Our work research indicates that these trade-offs are the key to understanding the impact of social aspects of companies. Ultimately, the question is whether when you see a company that has a good social reputation, a good corporate reputation and a good workplace reputation and you could take the social reputation component off the table, would it affect the decisions people make with regard to that company – whether they’d buy from it, or choose to work for it? We believe that it would not materially do so.

Certainly, companies don’t want to have bad reputations. But do they need to have stellar social reputations? Not if they are seeking out MBA graduates or consumers, it seems.

This creates a real conundrum for companies and managers. Many justify their corporate social responsibility activities based on a direct link to value, a long the lines of: ‘social reputation pays because consumers will pay more for our products or we will get the best graduates.’ This is a ‘have your cake and eat it too’ fallacy. Companies should make decisions about their social positioning based on what trade-offs managers view as fundamentally appropriate. Ultimately, whether the relevant stakeholders believe their decisions are correct or reasonable gets worked out over time through the rough and tumble of the marketplace, political system and court of public opinion.

Professor Jordan Louviere awarded international marketing accolade

Friday, July 30th, 2010

Professor Jordan Louviere has been awarded one of the most prestigious international honours in marketing research and practice: the 2010 Charles Coolidge Parlin Marketing Research Award.

‘The award recognises Professor Louviere’s substantial contributions and unwavering dedication to the ongoing advancement of marketing research practice’, according to the American Marketing Association who administer the award.

‘This is an international accolade of the highest order, and well deserved recognition of one of UTS Business’ highest achieving research leaders,’ said Professor Roy Green, Dean of UTS Business.  ‘Jordan has our warmest congratulations.’

Jordan Louviere, is UTS Professor of Marketing, at UTS Business, and Director of the Centre for the Study of Choice (CenSoc). He is internationally recognised as an expert in conjoint analysis and consumer choice modelling. He developed and pioneered the design and analysis of choice experiments and, up until 2006, has taught stated preference choice modelling and design of choice experiments with Moshe Ben-Akiva and Dan McFadden. (McFadden shared the 2000 Nobel Prize in Economics for his pioneering work in choice modelling theory and applications).

Professor Louviere received a doctorate in Geography at the University of Iowa in 1973 and joined the University of Iowa’s Marketing Department in 1978. He built marketing departments at both the University of Alberta (1985–1990) and the University of Sydney (1994–1999). In 2001, he joined the University of Technology, Sydney, as Professor of Marketing, where he established the Centre for the Study of Choice in 2003 and is its Executive Director.

His research interests include consumer choice behavior, design and analysis of choice experiments, external validity of experiments and surveys, preference elicitation, measurement models, error variance issues, and ways to model choices of single individuals. He has written more than 200 articles, chapters, and books in marketing, applied economics, tourism, psychology, geography, and transportation.

Jordan is a firm believer in the real life lab, and in the value of partnering with business. He and has been a business practitioner himself, consulting to industry and with his own start ups Advanis, Inc, a marketing research company, and Memetrics, Inc, a company that conducts real-time experiments and analysis for interactive channels, which is now a part of Accenture Marketing Science.

The Parlin Award is a preeminent national honour, awarded to leading practitioners or academics who excel in the field of marketing research. It was established in 1945 by the Philadelphia Chapter of the AMA, and The Wharton School in association with the Curtis Publishing Company as a memorial to Charles Coolidge Parlin, the recognised founder of marketing research.

To read the complete announcement click here: 2010 Parlin Award.

Lowy Institute discovers cost of stopping climate change – about $10

Monday, May 31st, 2010

The Lowy Institute have just released their Annual Poll. It focuses on Australian Foreign Policy but also continues some long running questions on climate change.

According to the poll, the majority of Australians (53%) said the issue was very important to them – down from 56% last year. An encouraging 72% believed Australia should take unilateral action to combat climate change, ahead of any global agreement being reached. The respondents were then asked how much extra they would be prepared to pay on their electricity bills if it would help prevent climate change. At this point, like the crowd when a street entertainer puts down his unicycle and brings out his hat, people started drifting away.

The majority of respondents were only prepared to pay $10 or less extra per month on their electricity bill. Let’s say the average monthly residential Australian power bill is $150. That’s a 6% increase to prevent climate change.

Earlier this year the NSW Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART) forecast that electricity prices in NSW will rise by 40% over the next three years. In that context the 6% doesn’t seem like much. Incidentally, that 40% is without the Trading Scheme which shall not speak its name. With the, ahem, ETS, prices are forecast to rise by 60%.

The Lowy Institute did not ask people what they considered to be the cost of doing nothing about climate change.

Edition 3: The Future

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Business21C Weekly is now available through the iTunes Podcast directory,
Alternatively, to subscribe directly via iTunes on your computer, go to the Advanced menu in iTunes and select Subscribe to Podcast. Then paste the following URL: http://www.business21c.com.au/podcasts/feed

I never was, am always to be,
no-one has ever, or will yet meet me,
but I am the confidence of all
who live and breathe on this spinning ball.

This week’s edition starts with a riddle, and continues with an enigma: the future. We talk with professional futurists Craig Rispin and Glenys McLaughlin about looking into the crystal ball for a living. Later in the conversation we are joined by digital artist and designer Ian Gwilt who is working on a project for the UTS campus using Augmented Reality – a future mobile technology-enabled experience.

Novelist William Gibson said: “The future is already here, it’s just unevenly distributed.” Futurists help organisations draw together the threads of today that will be woven to make the fabric of the future. They have a swag of techniques, from scenario planning to environmental scanning. These techniques help companies shape strategy by managing the risk of disruptive change.

“The primary technique of being a futurist is seeing the world with naive eyes,” says Rispin. Together we canvas the issues that are affecting companies and people as technology, globalisation and convergence accelerate.

Ian Gwilt is a digital artist and academic working on a project to create an augmented reality campus for UTS. By developing a database of what’s happening at the university, from lectures and library usage through to carbon emissions and events, and integrating it with geo-spatial technology and the capabilities of the smart phone, Ian’s project will create a multi-dimensional and rich experience of the campus.

Do you really care? The myth of the ethical consumer

Monday, March 15th, 2010

Professor Timothy M Devinney thinks the idea that people will change the world through what they buy, enabling companies to save the world through their actions, is hopelessly naïve. But that doesn’t mean corporations can’t view the world through ethical lenses. In fact, marketers and strategists need to know much more about their customers’ ethical preferences.

Katy Perry, singer of ‘I kissed a girl’, declares herself a ‘Red artist’. Georgio Armani, American Express, Starbucks, Apple, Dell – all these companies consider themselves to be ‘Red’, as do Converse, Bugaboo and Hallmark. They have pledged themselves to the Red initiative, spearheaded by U2’s Bono and politician Bobby Shriver. They have specified that 50 percent of the profits from designated ‘Red’ products and services will go towards buying and distributing antiretroviral medication to AIDS patients in Africa.

Since its inception in 2006, the Red initiative claims it has raised more than $140 million for its partner The Global Fund so that this fund, in turn, can provide medication to nearly 80,000 people in Ghana, Lesotho, Rwanda and Swaziland. As Katy Perry says: ‘It’s not just like they are coming to my concert: when they purchase a ticket, they are helping out someone across the world – someone who needs medication, who doesn’t have resources; someone to help in the fight against HIV and AIDS.’

Inspirational stuff.

With numbers like those, it would be churlish to argue that initiatives such as Red are not worthwhile. Yet such high-profile activities hide the fact that products with ethical or social dimensions have far more limited uptake than many executives and social activists might hope, leaving many in business expressing uncertainty, in private, about the financial efficacy of ethical consumerism and the role their customers play in sharing obligations to social ethics. Despite the hype it has generated, there is strong evidence to suggest that even Project Red hasn’t had the impact on consumers its partners had hoped for.

In fact, our research shows that the ideal of the ‘ethical consumer’ – that person who is guided in their purchasing decisions by broad ethical or moral concerns – is a myth. That doesn’t mean people aren’t influenced by issues other than price and product – they are. But we find that when you look carefully at people’s purchasing behaviour, it does not tally with what those who promote the idea of the ethical consumer would expect. All too often, survey radicals can turn into economic conservatives at the checkout.

Horses for courses

The ethical consumer, as an ideal, fails to match reality in a number of ways. When you examine how people purchase, you find that they do so in a much more utilitarian way than promoters of the idea of the ethical consumer claim. As our coffee-shop experiment shows (see Fair Trade Coffee, Sir, page 27) how ‘ethically’ people decide to consume is a socially determined factor, and a subsidiary one at that.

People may care about a variety of issues that form part of a broad ethical agenda: third-world debt, child labour, pollution, animal welfare and so on. But they tend to be hard-nosed when they trade these things off against matters that are more salient, immediate and mundane: children’s schooling, healthcare, their mortgage – even simply spending less time at the checkout counter.

The question, it seems, is a relative one: ‘How important are social issues when compared with other economic issues?’

Consumer social responsibility

These findings might tempt strategists to side with the financially driven sceptics. If ethical consumers are a myth, why cater to them – particularly if it is going to cost you money? It may be true that the ‘ethical consumer’ is a myth, but consumers are influenced nevertheless by their social concerns, in the same way that they are influenced by other aspects of the consumption landscape: price, branding, taste, positioning and the context within which consumption occurs. It’s just that you can’t rely on a simple conception of ‘ethicism’ in your marketing strategy.

Instead of conceptualising an ethical consumer, it may be more helpful to think about ‘consumer social responsibility’. This differs from the ‘ethical consumer’ construct because it recognises that consumers’ decisions are influenced by many factors and that the social component of a product is just one. What’s more, it doesn’t attribute a broad and generic ‘ethicism’ to individuals, who are likely to have far more subtle social preference delineations than we give them credit for.

Individuals reveal their social preferences through their patterns of consumption; in fact, it would be almost impossible for them not to do so, since social preferences are an inherent aspect of consumerism.

But you can not determine from their consumption patterns whether or not someone is ‘ethical’.

One person may reveal that he cares deeply about animal rights but is indifferent to the ‘right-to-life’ cause. Another may be a passionate right-to-lifer but have no position on the destruction of the Amazon rainforest. Which of these people is ‘ethical’? Both, surely.

People actively decide the extent to which they will support one social cause over another, and these decisions are reflected in their consumption behaviour. But you can’t use these decisions to predict from one social category to another. Ethicism is not generic.

Nor are people’s ethical concerns strongly influenced by their cultural heritage. Europeans do not appear to be significantly more socially aware than Americans. Consumers from developing countries seem to be no less concerned about environmental issues than those hailing from richer countries.

The reality is more complex than that: our research shows that the rationalisation of behaviour and a person’s understanding of the idea of ‘ethical consumerism’ are culturally informed – but behaviour is remarkably similar.

Ethics is a much more granular subject than the proponents of the ethical consumer would have us believe. It does a disservice to the human race to categorise some aspects of consumption as ethical or unethical.

Instead, it’s better to think about individuals revealing their social preferences through their behaviour. In turn, these preferences are useful in understanding how marketers can influence behaviour.

The socially responsible corporation

Understanding that social ethics is a complex and relative concept that differs markedly among individuals and communities sheds much light on the idea of the sociallyresponsible corporation. Many commentators have promoted the idea that companies can ‘do well by doing good’.

But if we understand that ethics are a complex and individually determined phenomenon, we realise that the idea that corporations can determine what is ‘good’ is naïve.

In fact, taking this argument to its logical conclusion reveals that handing over social policy decisions to corporations would lead to what most would consider to be an unacceptable loss of democratic rights.

To see why, it’s only necessary to take a walk down my street. I have neighbours who were born in China, Korea, India, Syria, Japan, the Netherlands, Croatia and 10 or so other countries. The local election ballot has to be printed in more than 20 languages. Yet, in the same street where several wives were imported for arranged marriages lives a lesbian couple and a dozen individuals cohabiting in de facto relationships, some with ‘illegitimate’ children.

Would corporate policies and choices that appeal to one of these families be likely to appeal to all? Certainly not. Any attempt to do well by doing good among my neighbours would get bogged down immediately in an energetic debate about what was and wasn’t ‘good’.

Corporations, by their very nature, have conflicting virtues and vices that ensure they will never truly be socially responsible, even by the broadest of definitions.

Would you want Walmart running society? The answer is, ‘Probably not’, for two reasons: firstly, because you can’t guarantee that what Walmart decides to do for society will in any way match your conception of a social good; and secondly, because there is a strong likelihood that instead of the corporation being forced to act in ways society deems ‘good’ (even if we could define such an idea), society will be forced to act in a way the corporation thinks is good. What’s more, you can’t vote Walmart out of office – there is no governance mechanism limiting the actions of a corporation in the way there is around a democratically elected government.

As Elizabeth Taylor said:

‘The problem with people who have no vices is that generally, you can be pretty sure they’re going to have some pretty annoying virtues.’

Social marketing

From an overall strategic perspective, it is important for corporations to understand that there are social responsibilities within all aspects of their businesses – whatever that means for the societies in which they are operating. Better companies work to enable these responsibilities to be fulfilled, however they arise (not simply through giving to select charities or enabling particular programs favoured by the CEO).

Corporate social responsibility, as it is traditionally defined, implies that there is a responsibility at the level of the corporation as a whole. But the company is not a being; it is simply an entity that allows humans to interact. It is the humans who have social preferences and responsibilities – as individual customers, workers, owners, investors and executives. Companies that put out glossy brochures proclaiming their extensive environmental, social or ethical activities are not being socially responsible – they are engaging in public relations.

More important is understanding the social links that exist across the corporation, understanding their interplay, and being able to understand and act upon the opportunities that arise from them.

This means enabling workers to have fulfilling lives and time with their families, customers to contribute to a variety of social causes through their consumption decisions, executives to create value for shareholders and investors to contribute to economic growth. The most ethical companies enable all of these and more, in concert, and profit over the long term as a result.

Fair trade coffee, sir?

One experiment we undertook in investigating whether or not the ethical consumer exists took place at a coffee shop in central Sydney over a period of several weeks.

This coffee shop displayed a large and prominent sign indicating the products available, their prices and active specials. To this we added, quite obtrusively, another special, indicating: We have Fair Trade coffee! No extra charge. Just ask.

Unprompted, with only the sign to notify them of the availability of the ‘ethical’ alternative, less than one percent of customers bothered to ask for Fair Trade coffee, even though it was free.

When we opted for the McDonald’s strategy – prompting customers with a reminder that the ‘ethical’ alternative was available – the number of customers opting for the Fair Trade option rose to 30 percent.

We then went a step further and took the customer’s privacy away: each time the clerk prompted a customer with the Fair Trade option, we ensured there was someone standing next to that person at the counter. In this situation, the number of ‘ethical consumers’ rose to 70 percent.

Throughout the experiment, we gave different coloured cups to customers who indicated that they wanted the Fair Trade product. We then questioned those remaining in the coffee shop about the meaning of fair trade and what they thought they were doing by purchasing, or not purchasing, Fair Trade coffee. On the whole, we received informed and insightful answers: customers talked about fair trade; they talked about the conditions of Guatemalan farmers; they could cite many reasons why they had opted for Fair Trade coffee.

None of this meant anything, however. When a customer chose the Fair Trade alternative, his or her decision was based entirely on the context we had created; it had nothing to do with that person’s values or preferences.

What this reveals is the degree to which ethical consumerism, like all consumerism, is strongly determined by the social context in which it is served up: something the marketers behind the Red campaign, and Katy Perry, are likely to have taken into account.

Timothy M Devinney is a Professor of Strategy at UTS Business. His research interests include international business, corporate and social responsibility and social consumerism, corporate strategy and technology/knowledge management. He has also published a number of papers regarding ethics and the role of ethics in consumers’ lives.

Timothy M Devinney’s latest book, The Myth of the Ethical Consumer, is available from Cambridge University Press.